Gold Session Analysis (14:00–21:00 UK) – 2026-01-13
Educational only. Not financial advice.
Yesterday 14:00–21:00 (30-min)
- Open: 4,609.95
- High: 4,632.92
- Low: 4,571.40
- Close: 4,586.17
- Half Back: 4,602.16
Market Profile (approx)
- POC: 4,621.50
- VAH: 4,621.50
- VAL: 4,621.50
Context
- Day type (yesterday): BALANCED DAY (two-sided trade)
- Value relationship: Value migrated HIGHER
- Daily trend: Bullish (20MA above 50MA)
- Overnight POC: 4,609.00
- Overnight Half Back: 4,619.03
Next Session Probabilities (Dynamic – based on today’s open)
- Primary scenario: Open in CENTRE (middle 30%: 4592.93–4611.39)
- Higher: 22%
- Lower: 22%
- Balance: 56%
What-if Outcomes (playbook)
- IF open ABOVE yesterday range: Higher 55% | Lower 15% | Balance 30%
- IF open BELOW yesterday range: Higher 15% | Lower 55% | Balance 30%
- IF open in CENTRE of range (middle 30%: 4592.93–4611.39): Higher 22% | Lower 22% | Balance 56%
- IF open INSIDE range near HIGHs (>= 4620.62): Higher 45% | Lower 20% | Balance 35%
- IF open INSIDE range near LOWs (<= 4583.70): Higher 20% | Lower 45% | Balance 35%
Notes
- “Value relationship” = yesterday VAH/VAL compared to the day before (overlap vs migrate higher/lower).
- Probabilities are conditional on where today opens (not a guarantee).